Five Thirty Eight 2024 Senate. An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 election forecast from 538. The party’s prospects might rest more upon limiting the damage in 2024 so that it has a chance to regain the senate in 2026 or 2028.
